Category Archives: Analysis

conflict map middle east

World Adjusting to New Realities

The uptick in conflict activities in the last few months is noticeable. While in many places there have been conflicts going on for a while, for example in Sudan, others, that were dormant, have become hot again, for example also Sudan, but Israel, Yemen and more recently Iran and Pakistan as well.

In my view, this is due to the decline of European power1 and dominance in world affairs. What we see now is the world adjusting and re-calibrating to a new order, in which Europe is not the predominant power setting standards anymore.

Local conflicts are flaring up in several locations, where local or regional powers try to fill in the void left behind after the retreat/collapse of European power.
We can see what Hamas, the Houthis and Iran are doing in this context. They are trying to shift their positions to a more advantageous, influential one.

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About Hersh’s “General to General” Piece

Seymour Hersh in his latest piece claims that ‘direct military-to-military negotiations are taking place between Zaluzhniy and Gerasimov

You can read Seymour Hersh’s piece on Substack, however, it’s for paying subscribers. So I guess this might be one motivation for him to write such a story. In general, I think there’s not much substance to the claim.

Hersh’s recent works, as is the one being discussed here, are relying to a great extent – if not exclusively – on ‘unnamed sources in the government’, and since we have no idea who these sources might be, we don’t have a great way to assess their credibility and the veracity of the information.
Relying on ‘unnamed US government sources’ also has its well-known dangers, as it is a great way for the government to float some ideas and narratives to see what the reaction is in the public, without committing anyone in government to it.

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